Date Posted: 2019-10-09

Steering a Steady Course: Europe’s Strategy for Navigating the Complexities of the Fraying US-China Relationship

The evolving dynamics between the United States and China, marked by increasing competition and strategic divergence, present a significant challenge for Europe. Navigating this complex landscape requires a nuanced and strategic approach that safeguards European interests while promoting stability and cooperation. A report by the Atlantic Council examines potential pathways for Europe to navigate the fraying US-China relationship, offering insights into the key considerations, policy options, and strategic choices that will shape Europe’s role in the emerging world order.

The intensifying rivalry between the US and China has created a more uncertain and unpredictable global environment. Europe finds itself caught in the middle, facing pressure from both sides to align its policies and priorities. The US has urged Europe to take a tougher stance on China, particularly on issues such as trade, technology, and security. China, in turn, has sought to cultivate closer ties with Europe, offering economic opportunities and promoting a multipolar world order.

Europe’s challenge is to navigate this complex landscape while preserving its own interests and values. This requires a delicate balancing act that combines engagement with both the US and China, while also maintaining a degree of independence and strategic autonomy. Europe needs to avoid becoming overly reliant on either the US or China, and it needs to develop its own capabilities to address global challenges.

One of the key considerations for Europe is the economic dimension of the US-China relationship. The trade war between the US and China has disrupted global supply chains and created uncertainty for businesses. Europe needs to work with both the US and China to resolve these trade disputes and to promote a more stable and predictable trading environment. It also needs to diversify its trade relationships and to strengthen its own competitiveness.

Another key consideration is the political and security dimension of the US-China relationship. The US and China have different views on issues such as human rights, democracy, and international law. Europe needs to uphold its values and to speak out against human rights abuses, while also seeking to engage with both the US and China on issues of mutual concern. It also needs to strengthen its security cooperation with like-minded countries to deter aggression and to maintain stability in the Indo-Pacific region.

The Atlantic Council report suggests that Europe should adopt a three-pronged strategy for navigating the fraying US-China relationship: strengthening European unity, building strategic autonomy, and engaging in selective cooperation.

Strengthening European unity requires overcoming internal divisions and developing a common foreign policy. Europe needs to speak with one voice and to act in a coordinated manner to be effective in its engagement with both the US and China.

Building strategic autonomy involves diversifying supply chains, investing in research and innovation, and strengthening security capabilities. Europe needs to reduce its dependence on other major powers and to develop its own capabilities to address global challenges.

Engaging in selective cooperation entails working with both the US and China on issues of mutual concern, such as climate change, pandemics, and nuclear proliferation. Europe can play a constructive role in addressing these challenges by fostering dialogue and cooperation between the US and China.

By pursuing this three-pronged strategy, Europe can navigate the complexities of the fraying US-China relationship and safeguard its interests and values. It can also contribute to a more stable and prosperous world order. The key lies in maintaining a balanced and strategic approach that combines engagement with both the US and China, while also preserving a degree of independence and strategic autonomy.

– Davide Pena – 

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